Normal view MARC view

The Drunkard's walk: how randomness rules our lives

Author: Mlodinow, Leonard Publisher: Pantheon Books, 2008.Language: EnglishDescription: 252 p. : Graphs/Photos ; 25 cm.ISBN: 9780375424045Type of document: BookBibliography/Index: Includes bibliographical references and index
Tags: No tags from this library for this title. Log in to add tags.
Item type Current location Collection Call number Status Date due Barcode Item holds
Book Europe Campus
Main Collection
Print QA273 .M56 2008
(Browse shelf)
Available 001242690
Total holds: 0

Includes bibliographical references and index


The Drunkard's Walk How Randomness Rules Our Lives Contents ix 3 Prologue Chapter 1: Peering through the Eyepiece of Randomness The hidden role of chance . . . when human beings can be outperformed by a rat. Chapter 2: The Laws of Truths and Half-Truths The basic principles of probability and how they are abused . . . why a good story is often less likely to be true than a flimsy explanation. 21 Chapter 3: Finding Your Way through a Space of Possibilities A framework for thinking about random situations . . . from a 41 gambler in plague-ridden Italy to Let's Make a Deal. Chapter 4: Tracking the Pathways to Success How to count the number of ways in which events can happen, and why it matters . . . the mathematical meaning of expectation. 60 Chapter 5: The Dueling Laws of Large and Small Numbers The extent to which probabilities are reflected in the results we observe . . . Zeno's paradox, the concept of limits, and beating the casino at roulette. 81 Chapter 6: False Positives and Positive Fallacies How to adjust expectations in light of past events or new knowledge ,, . mistakes in conditional probability from medical screening to the O. J. Simpson trial and the prosecutor's fallacy. 104 Chapter 7: Measurement and the Law of Errors The meaning and lack of meaning in measurements . . . the bell curve and wine ratings, political polls, grades, and the position of planets. 124 Chapter 8: The Order in Chaos How large numbers can wash out the disorder of randomness... or why 200,000,000 drivers form a creature of habit. 146 Chapter 9: Illusions of Patterns and Patterns of Illusion Why we are often fooled by the regularities in chance events . . . can a million consecutive zeroes or the success of Wall Street gurus be random? 169 Chapter 10: The Drunkard's Walk Why chance is a more fundamental conception than causality . . . Bruce Willis, Bill Gates, and the normal accident theory of life. 192 Acknowledgments Notes Index 221 223 239

There are no comments for this item.

Log in to your account to post a comment.
Koha 18.11 - INSEAD Catalogue
Home | Contact Us | What's Koha?