INSEAD Library

Includes bibliographical references and index

Digitized

Strategic Asia 2002-03 Asian Aftershocks Contents Preface vii Overview Introduction / Richard J. Ellings and Aaron L. Friedberg America's Stakes in Asia ­ 4; Major Challenges Ahead ­ 6; September 11--Asian Aftershocks ­ 8 3 United States / Aaron L. Friedberg Early Innovations of the Bush Administration ­ 18; September 11: Impact and Response ­ 28; Reverberations and Aftershocks ­ 30; Looking Ahead Risks and Opportunities ­ 39 17 Regional Studies China / Thomas J. Christensen Beijing's Strategic Priorities ­ 53; Understanding the PRC's Response to September 11 ­ 54; Potential Roadblocks to Long-term PRC Cooperation with the United States ­ 61; Arms Control, Proliferation, and the Danger to U.S.-China Relations ­ 67; Long-term Trends across the Strait and the Pacific ­ 68; Challenges for China's Economy ­ 75; Will Succession Politics, Political Reform, or Economic Interdependence Solve the Taiwan Issue? ­ 78; Conclusion ­ 81 51 Japan / Eric Heginbotham and Richard J. Samuels Change at Last or Change at Least? ­ 96; Baseline: Comprehensive Security and the Dual Hedge ­ 98; September 11 and the Afghan War ­ 101; Continuing Asian Developments ­ 107; Japan and the "Axis of Evil" ­ 116; Domestic Politics and the Long-term Prospects for Foreign Policy Change ­ 120; Conclusion: Baseline Revisited ­ 122 95 Korea / Nicholas N. Eberstadt Korea's Current Season of Calm ­ 131; Northeast Asian Security Relations after September 11: The Doughnut and the Hole ­ 135; Pyongyang's Waiting Game ­ 145; Seoul's Sunshine Policy: Tom Between Washington and Pyongyang ­ 152; Washington: Korea Policy on Hold ­ 164; Pressures for Change ­ 169 131 Russia / William C. Wohlforth 183 The Realities Behind Russia's Asia Policy ­ 184; The Baseline: Russia's " Multipolar" Policy ­ 191; The Turn: September 11 in Context ­ 198; Russia in Asia after the Turn ­ 207; Conclusion ­ 216 Central Asia / Martha Brill Olcott Central Asia's Second Chance ­ 224; Creating Nations in Central Asia: The First Decade ­ 227; The Geopolitics of Central Asia before September 11 ­ 239; The Geopolitics of Central Asia after September 11 ­ 248; Conclusion: Whither Central Asia? ­ 253 223 South Asia / Stephen P. Cohen Before September 11: A Strategic Snapshot ­ 264; Consequences for South Asia ­ 268; The Compound Crisis of 2002 ­ 281; U.S. Policy: Old Problems, New Opportunities ­ 299 263 Southeast Asia / S hel don W . S imon 309 Southeast Asia and the War on Terrorism ­ 311; Radical Islam: The Region's New Security Challenge ­ 314; The Core ASEAN States, U.S. Actions, and the Security Challenge of Islamist Radicalism ­ 319; Prospects for Regional Cooperation in the War against Terrorism ­ 333; Major External Actors and Southeast Asian Security ­ 337; Conclusion ­ 340 Special Study Islam and Asian Security / Robert W. Hefner Legacy ­ 354; Religious Reform and Resurgence ­ 356; Radicalization ­ 358; Central Asia ­ 361; China--Xinjiang ­ 367; Pakistan and India ­ 370; Muslim Southeast Asia ­ 373; Prospects and Policy ­ 382 351 Indicators Strategic Asia by the Numbers Long-term Trends and Short-term Indicators: Major Asian Powers ­ 396; Northeast Asia ­ 400; Central Asia ­ 404; South Asia ­ 408; Southeast Asia ­ 412 395 Index About the Authors About NBR 417 427 431