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Uncertainty and risk: mental, formal, experimental representations

Author: Abdellaoui, Mohammed ; Luce, R. Duncan ; Machina, Mark J. ; Munier, BertrandSeries: Theory and decision library ; Game theory, mathematical programming and operations researchPublisher: Springer, 2007.Language: EnglishDescription: 306 p. : Graphs/Ill. ; 24 cm.ISBN: 9783540489344Type of document: BookBibliography/Index: Includes bibliographical references
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Item type Current location Collection Call number Status Date due Barcode Item holds
Book Asia Campus
Main Collection
Print T58.62 .A33 2007
(Browse shelf)
900180139
Available 900180139
Book Europe Campus
Main Collection
Print T58.62 .A33 2007
(Browse shelf)
001227945
Available 001227945
Total holds: 0

Includes bibliographical references

Digitized

Uncertainty and Risk Mental, Formal, Experimental Representations Contents Introduction .................................................................................................................................. 1 Part I Foundations Conjectures, Refutations and Discoveries: Incorporating New Knowledge in Models of Belief and Choice Under Uncertainty S. Grant, J. Quiggin ........................................................................................ 9 When an Event Makes a Difference M. Amarante, F. Maccheroni........................................................................... 27 Countable Additivity and the Foundations of Bayesian Statistics J. V. Howard ............................................................................................... 33 On the Quantification and Decomposition of Uncertainty E. Borgonovo, L. Peccati.................................................................................... 41 Part II The Importance of Representational Tools in Understanding Behaviour Under Uncertainty and Risk Preference for Diversification with Similarity Considerations A. Guerdjikova ................................................................................................. 63 Uncertainty Improves the Second-Best H. Haller, S. Mousavi .................................................................................... 85 Lorenz Meets Rating but Misses Valuation E. Camacho-Cuena, C. Seidl ...................................................................... 101 A Deeper Look at Hyperbolic Discounting B. Sopher, A. Sheth......................................................................................... 125 Part III The Assessment of Several Alternative Decision Rules "Take-the-Best" and Other Simple Strategies: Why and When They Work "Well" with Binary Cues R.M. Hogarth, N. Karelaia .............................................................................. 153 On Generalized Secretary Problems J.N. Bearden, R.O. Murphy........................................................................... 187 Voting on Alternatives or on Criteria? The Meta-Decision on Group Decision Procedures N.P. Thomas..................................................................................................... 207 Part IV Models of Risk Attitude Modelling and Methodological Issues Probabilistic Risk Analysis Versus Decision Analysis: Similarities, Differences and Illustrations E. Pate-Cornell.................................................................................................. 223 A Conjoint Measurement Based Rationale for Inducing Preferences H. Grof3mann, M. Brocke, H. Holling............................................................. 243 Active Search for Probability Information and Recall Performance: Is Probability an Outstanding Element in the Mental Representation of Risky Decisions? O.W. Huber........................................................................................................ 261 Evolutionary Analysis of Risk Attitudes in Competitive Bidding Environments Using Simulation J. Sounderpandian .................................................................................. 275 Behavior in Risky Decisions: Focus on Risk Defusing 0. Huber ....................................................................................................... 291

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