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Kondratieff waves, warfare and world security

Author: Devezas, Tessaleno C. Series: NATO security through science series Publisher: IOS Press, 2006.Language: EnglishDescription: 337 p. ; 24 cm.ISBN: 1586035886Type of document: BookBibliography/Index: Includes bibliographical references and indexContents Note: Includes chapter by Ayres, Robert U. "Did the fifth K-wave begin in 1990-1992? Has it been aborted by globalization?" p. 57-71
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Item type Current location Collection Call number Status Date due Barcode Item holds
Book Europe Campus
Main Collection
Print HB848 .K66 2006
(Browse shelf)
001157142
Available 001157142
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Includes bibliographical references and index

Includes chapter by Ayres, Robert U. "Did the fifth K-wave begin in 1990-1992? Has it been aborted by globalization?" p. 57-71

Digitized

Kondratieff Waves, Warfare and World Security Contents Prologue. Long Waves and Warfare: An Enduring Controversy vii Tessaleno C. Devezas Part I. Kondratieff Waves Revisited: New Concepts on the Interpretation of Long-Term Fluctuations in Economic Growth The Kondratieff's Waves and Cyclic Dynamics of the Economy and Wars: Theory and Prospects 3 10 Yury V. Yakovets Toward New Conceptual Models of the Kondratiev Phenomenon Kenyon B. De Greene Recurrent Instabilities in K-Wave Macrohistory 22 Brian J.L. Berry A Marxian Model of the U.S. Long Waves with Endogenous Growth of Labor Force 30 39 Alexander V. Ryzhenkov Economic Cycles Under Test: A Spectral Analysis Claude Diebolt and Cédric Doliger Are There Long-Term Cycles in the Evolution of the Oil Price? A Research Using the Hodrick-Prescott Filter 48 José R. Pires Manso Did the Fifth K-Wave Begin in 1990-92? Has It Been Aborted by Globalization? 57 Robert U. Ayres The Cyclic Dynamics of the Venture Capital 72 Alexander Dagaev If This Long Wave Steeps-Up and Breaks: What Then? 80 Gerhard Mensch Empirical Evidence and Causation of Kondratieff Cycles 91 Rainer Metz Principles of Self-Organization and Sustainable Development of the World Economy: From Local Conflicts to Global Security 100 Dmitry Chistilin Waves of Socio-Economic Development: An Evolutionary Perspective 109 Witold Kwasnicki xii Who Was Right? Kuznets in 1930 or Schumpeter in 1939? 118 Alfred Kleinknecht and Gerben van der Panne On Kondratieff's "Suzdal Letters" and Transformation of K-Cycles Approach (1932-1938) 126 Peter N Klyukin and Yury V. Yakovets Part H. Kondratieff Waves and Warfare The Predictive Power of Long Wave Theory, 1989-2004 137 Joshua S. Goldstein Did World War II Reset the `Rhythm' of the Kondratieff Wave? 145 Jan Reijnders Long Waves in Global Warfare and Maritime Hegemony? A Complex Systems Perspective 154 165 Gerald Silverberg Wars on the Borders of Europe and Socio-Economic Long Cycles Philippe Jourdon Is History Automatic and Are Wars a la Carte? The Perplexing Suggestions of a System Analysis of Historical Time Series 173 Cesare Marchetti Long Cycles, Global Wars and World Energy Consumption 180 Svetlana Rumyantseva Emergent Violence, Global Wars, and Terrorism 186 William R. Thompson Human Behaviors Encountered During the Different Phases of the Kondratieff Cycle 195 Theodore Modis The Extent of the Kondratieff Wave's Effect on Violence in the North-South Context 205 Rafael Reuveny and William R. Thompson Globalization and Risks of Instability 213 Timour Timofeev Cycles of Political Violence: Urban Guerrilla and Insurgent Groups 219 Athanasios G. Konstandopoulos, Theodore Modis and George Skillas Reverse Engineering Asymmetric Warfare: Applying Space-Time, Matter-Energy and Organizational-Doctrinal Analysis to Al Qaeda Operations 228 Robert J. Bunker The Asymmetrical 21st Century Security Reality 236 Max G. Manwaring xiii The Emergence of Modern Terrorism 245 Tessaleno Devezas and Humberto Santos Part III. Looking into the Future The Russian Potential of Asymmetrical Wars of the 21st Century: Social-Economic Aspect 253 260 Dmitry Sorokin The Information and Molecular Ages: Will K-Waves Persist? Harold A. Linstone Warfare and International Security: Future Perspective 270 Valentina Bondarenko Economic Cycles in a Closed Finite World 279 Rui Namorado Rosa Innovation Economy: Challenges and Threats to Russia 287 Vadim Tsirenshchikov Global Political Evolution, Long Cycles, and K-Waves 293 George Modelski The Social Progress and Security Problems 303 Serhii Pyrozhkov Alternative Futures for K-Waves 311 Jim Dator Risk Management in Uncertain Times 318 Jordi Serra Cyclicity of Strategic Challenges in Russian History and Development Scenario for the 21st Century 327 Alexander I. Ageev Author Index 337

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